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jannepyykko

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Reply with quote  #1 
Hi all,

I found this extremely interesting link:

(The original page in Russian, translated by Google.)

Physicist Sergei Shpilkin explains how to use pure statistics + visualization to show fraud on a variety of Russian elections.

Regards,
-Janne Pyykkö

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-- Mr. Janne Pyykkö, Espoo, Finland, Europe
sfew

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Reply with quote  #2 
Hi Janne,

This looks like it might be worthwhile and well done, but the translation is so poor, I found it difficult to decipher.

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Stephen Few
jannepyykko

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Reply with quote  #3 
Another view to the same issue, originally in English (not the original study, but a blog article that clarifies the statistical main points):
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-- Mr. Janne Pyykkö, Espoo, Finland, Europe
sfew

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Reply with quote  #4 
Janne,

In the first graph, which appears on both sites, can you tell me what the scale on the X-axis represents?

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Stephen Few
jannepyykko

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Reply with quote  #5 
In this image, Russian parliamentary (Duma) elections on 4-December 2011:
Entries 91227 = count of electoral districts in Russia
X axis = electoral districts distributed in 100 different %-groups according to the percentage of people having voted
Y axis = number of electoral districts in a specific %-group

The highest value in graph = 2200 = count of electoral districts where 52% of the people voted

.. while in Mexican legislative election 2009 (yellow), second round of Polish presidential election in 2010 (light gray), Bulgarian legislative election in 2009 (green), and Swedish legislative election in 2010 (dark gray):
.. the curves have a tendency towards a normal distribution!

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-- Mr. Janne Pyykkö, Espoo, Finland, Europe
sfew

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Reply with quote  #6 
Janne,

So the upper graph is saying that 100% of the population in several electoral commissions voted in the recent Russian election?

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Stephen Few
jannepyykko

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Reply with quote  #7 
Yes. The graph says: out of 91227 electoral districts, about 1100 of them had 100 % voting percentage. And, due to statistical laws, it's impossible to believe it.
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-- Mr. Janne Pyykkö, Espoo, Finland, Europe
jannepyykko

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Reply with quote  #8 
To check my home country Finland, I made the same analysis for the Finnish parliamentary elections 2007 and 2011. The results = I'm happy to announce we have fair elections.


Can you check your country?

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-- Mr. Janne Pyykkö, Espoo, Finland, Europe
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